Lian Ping interprets the Central Economic Work Conference: The ups and downs of the stock market will be included in the adjustment function of the central bank in the future, and the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11 to 12. Regarding the exploration and expansion of the macro-prudential and financial stability functions of the central bank mentioned in the meeting, Lian Ping, president of the Guangdong Development Institute and chairman of the China Chief Economist Forum, explained that the ups and downs of the stock market will be included in the adjustment function of the central bank in the future. (CBN)Yiwangyichuang: Shareholder Zhang Fan plans to reduce his shareholding by no more than 1%. Yiwangyichuang announced that shareholder Zhang Fan, who holds more than 5% of the company's shares, plans to reduce his shareholding by centralized bidding and/or block trading, and the number of shares to be reduced is no more than 2,369,400, accounting for 1.00% of the company's total share capital. The reduction period is from January 6, 2025 to April 4, 2025. The price range of reduction will be determined according to the market price and trading method at the time of reduction. The reason for Zhang Fan's reduction is based on his own capital demand, and the shares come from the shares issued before the initial public offering, the shares transferred due to equity distribution and the shares transferred by agreement.The New Zealand dollar just broke through the 0.5800 mark against the US dollar, and the latest report was 0.5801, up 0.29% in the day; The Australian dollar just broke through the 0.6400 mark against the US dollar, and the latest report was 0.6401, up 0.51% in the day.
Gao Weibing: Guangzhou Institute will improve the variety layout of new energy and new materials. On December 12th, 2024 China New Energy and New Materials Industry Conference was held in Guangzhou. Gao Weibing, Party Secretary and Chairman of Guangzhou Futures Exchange, said that in the near future, Guangzhou Futures Exchange will launch polysilicon futures and options to form a linkage with industrial silicon, providing more effective price signals and risk management tools for the photovoltaic industry chain. In the next step, Guangzhou Institute will thoroughly implement the spirit of "Opinions on Strengthening Supervision and Preventing Risks to Promote the High-quality Development of Futures Market", based on the fundamental purpose of serving the real economy and the characteristic orientation of serving the green development, improve the variety layout of new energy and new materials, increase market cultivation, continuously enrich the supervision toolbox, and strive to ensure the safe and stable operation of the market and better serve the needs of the real economy. (China Nonferrous Metals News)World Gold Council: The price of gold is expected to hit its best annual performance in more than 10 years. It is expected that there will be a positive but moderate growth next year. According to the report of the World Gold Council, the price of gold is expected to hit its best annual performance in more than 10 years, with an increase of 28% as of November. Behind this, the purchases of the central bank and investors offset the significant slowdown in consumer demand. Looking ahead, all eyes are focused on the impact of Trump's second term on the global economy. The current forecast of GDP, yield and inflation shows that gold will have a positive but much more moderate growth in 2025. The upward trend may benefit from a sharp drop in interest rates, an increase in volatility, or the continuous higher-than-average demand for gold by the central bank. On the contrary, higher long-term interest rates or weak demand for gold consumption may bring headwinds.Market News: A fire broke out at Kaliningrad Shipyard in Russia.
CITIC Securities: There is no need to be overly pessimistic about the export of home appliances catalyzed by state subsidies. CITIC Securities Research Report said that domestically, the sales data of white electricity and black electricity continued to improve under the support of state subsidies. Externally, the overall export exposure of home appliance enterprises to the United States is relatively limited, so there is no need to be overly pessimistic. Looking forward to the future, the domestic demand stimulus policy is expected to be further overweight, and it is suggested to focus on white power enterprises that benefit from state subsidies; Optional sectors where domestic demand is expected to reverse (small household appliances, projection).During the year, the allocation of 2 trillion yuan "hidden debt" replacement quota was completed, and the scale of six provinces exceeded 100 billion yuan. On December 11, the Beijing Municipal Finance Bureau announced in the evening that it planned to issue the eleventh batch of local bonds in 2024 on December 18, in which Beijing local government refinancing special bonds (38), (40) and (42) were used to replace the existing hidden debt, totaling 4.7 billion yuan, which will be held in December. So far, the distribution of the implicit debt quota of 2 trillion yuan replacement stock this year has all been announced. In some areas, a three-year special debt limit for local governments to replace hidden debts in stock has been issued at one time, and it is planned to be implemented in three years. It is understood that after the issuance of refinancing special bonds for replacing hidden debts, part of the raised funds have been used to replace hidden debts such as policy bank loans of city investment companies. In addition, some professionals believe that there may be a lot of funds used to repay interest or debts due. In the past two months, the early payment of urban investment bonds has not increased significantly. The active promotion of debt conversion has further strengthened the expectation of city investment bonds, and city investment projects in some areas have become "hot cakes" in the eyes of financial institutions. (21 Finance)Cui Dongshu, Chenglian Branch: The head car companies that grew in the auto market this year showed stronger characteristics of their own brands. Cui Dongshu, secretary general of Chenglian Branch, issued a document saying that the national new energy passenger car market showed a continuous upward trend in 2024, with a penetration rate of 52% for the retail sales of 1.26 million vehicles in November. With the strong growth of the extension program at the beginning of the year, the scrapping and renewal and trade-in since August have promoted the explosive growth of the entry-level hybrid of economical electric vehicles, forming a good performance that new energy vehicles will become stronger and stronger in 2024. This year, the head car companies that have grown in the auto market are characterized by stronger independent brands. In particular, the new energy trend of traditional independent car companies has surpassed the new forces, and more and more students have become "three excellent students" with mixed, pure electric and all-round development.
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14